Japanese Model's Quarterly Deciles
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Quarters
One
Two
Three
Four
Five
Six
Seven
Eight
Nine
Ten
MXJP
Slope
RSquared
1994 Q1-9.17%-4.37%-3.76%-1.80%-2.29%0.28%-1.14%1.40%2.74%5.12%-3.79%1.26%90.41%
1994 Q2-7.46%-4.56%-3.01%-4.15%-2.10%-0.94%-1.91%-2.58%-0.22%0.85%0.42%0.70%78.68%
1994 Q34.55%5.01%3.56%5.22%4.93%4.75%5.52%5.63%7.47%11.30%4.89%0.54%56.47%
1994 Q4-7.14%-4.86%-2.46%-2.85%-1.63%-3.42%-3.50%-2.68%0.64%-0.71%-0.02%0.56%61.00%
1995 Q11.45%7.33%8.19%6.30%7.27%8.86%10.48%6.71%11.17%14.34%9.74%0.91%64.49%
1995 Q210.77%7.93%8.07%9.17%9.58%8.91%9.72%10.75%12.18%14.90%9.55%0.49%50.43%
1995 Q310.67%8.65%8.34%10.18%8.87%9.48%9.91%10.90%13.58%16.30%7.95%0.59%52.47%
1995 Q4-6.50%-2.39%0.54%3.38%1.08%0.54%1.75%2.09%0.26%1.99%6.02%0.59%39.98%
1996 Q19.83%8.24%4.25%8.76%5.02%5.28%7.45%7.75%7.86%7.42%5.37%-0.06%1.20%
1996 Q29.82%11.67%6.12%8.29%8.72%5.85%4.06%1.49%4.47%8.54%4.49%-0.61%36.44%
1996 Q3-4.74%-0.81%-0.33%-0.56%-0.93%0.53%0.85%1.04%0.15%3.68%3.09%0.58%68.55%
1996 Q4-5.08%-1.78%2.97%5.04%4.92%6.42%6.36%6.56%9.74%11.96%8.34%1.56%88.04%
1997 Q1-8.24%-5.75%-2.45%-1.98%0.05%-1.54%2.36%3.06%4.72%2.20%2.68%1.25%86.15%
1997 Q211.60%11.43%14.00%15.09%15.88%14.09%16.48%15.18%18.34%20.19%17.46%0.81%81.54%
1997 Q313.59%15.96%20.87%16.28%18.03%20.89%16.60%19.17%20.96%33.37%7.49%1.26%49.29%
1997 Q4-9.34%-3.85%-5.93%-6.88%-3.77%-4.19%-3.14%-1.98%-3.08%-5.82%2.87%0.41%32.01%
1998 Q18.60%6.83%7.81%10.96%9.98%10.72%10.90%12.53%13.01%15.43%13.95%0.78%84.70%
1998 Q2-16.61%-10.37%-8.34%-5.80%-3.92%-3.23%-1.60%-0.31%-0.16%1.51%3.30%1.75%90.10%
1998 Q3-30.17%-25.39%-24.14%-21.50%-25.18%-18.12%-18.17%-16.60%-16.36%-9.39%-9.95%1.85%87.97%
1998 Q4-1.46%11.18%20.22%16.01%12.53%14.81%15.05%14.95%17.78%14.71%21.30%1.00%26.75%
1999 Q10.27%-7.90%-2.03%-6.33%-3.97%-4.59%-4.60%-6.74%-7.26%-0.14%4.98%-0.11%1.34%
1999 Q220.28%17.11%15.53%19.81%18.90%17.79%16.78%17.21%14.51%19.44%7.05%-0.17%7.21%
1999 Q3-12.65%-11.35%-8.85%-10.70%-8.64%-6.26%-5.89%-3.12%-4.64%3.47%-6.24%1.44%84.43%
1999 Q4-0.93%-1.22%3.10%6.56%4.50%2.16%4.05%12.70%21.27%53.43%14.88%4.15%58.03%
2000 Q1-0.25%-5.62%-2.52%-2.90%0.54%4.01%6.65%18.54%29.47%44.53%2.29%4.76%76.51%
2000 Q2-6.88%0.08%-0.41%1.11%0.94%1.39%-4.50%-10.12%-11.70%-17.13%-2.66%-1.45%45.63%
2000 Q3-6.90%-0.22%3.40%5.19%7.35%6.79%7.81%6.16%0.33%3.16%-0.97%0.70%21.72%
2000 Q4-49.44%-25.97%-14.58%-8.98%-3.77%0.79%2.22%7.04%7.28%3.04%-7.82%5.16%76.66%
2001 Q1-14.21%-10.67%-5.58%0.59%-1.35%2.82%2.19%3.00%4.95%4.88%-11.86%2.02%83.75%
2001 Q225.13%30.02%15.59%15.57%14.82%15.49%16.22%18.33%16.59%19.21%5.85%-0.79%23.07%
2001 Q3-44.02%-32.53%-24.01%-19.61%-16.91%-14.40%-14.04%-11.40%-8.08%-7.29%-14.68%3.54%86.24%
2001 Q453.29%40.80%33.96%24.55%23.84%19.07%13.83%17.82%14.77%15.73%10.69%-3.87%80.70%
2002 Q1-8.32%1.14%2.41%3.81%6.92%4.98%8.61%9.27%8.14%7.98%0.27%1.47%70.80%
2002 Q2-36.05%-24.92%-14.15%-7.35%-5.12%-3.85%-3.59%0.07%3.20%-0.22%-13.40%3.65%79.08%
2002 Q3-29.16%-31.50%-26.31%-24.36%-20.24%-18.47%-16.13%-17.17%-12.81%-9.52%-17.28%2.30%95.28%
2002 Q452.32%33.86%20.23%11.24%9.07%8.88%6.17%1.65%1.76%4.95%15.21%-4.60%72.95%
2003 Q1-6.51%-6.91%-3.53%-6.78%-5.00%-4.61%-4.60%-3.20%-0.12%0.65%-3.15%0.73%71.30%
2003 Q233.23%25.98%26.03%26.41%26.06%23.46%25.84%29.58%28.95%43.23%15.39%0.75%15.90%
2003 Q37.87%6.92%6.64%7.45%9.26%10.45%14.90%14.66%22.87%27.69%2.65%2.14%79.88%
2003 Q414.44%12.36%14.75%13.18%15.50%17.56%17.63%19.67%21.22%22.84%12.18%1.08%87.19%
2004 Q16.14%4.62%5.29%3.46%3.91%6.58%7.46%6.05%5.83%6.55%1.69%0.19%19.82%
2004 Q2-3.85%-2.58%-2.46%-2.85%-3.43%-4.12%-3.21%-2.78%-2.71%2.54%1.72%0.32%27.34%
2004 Q3-12.67%-9.82%-5.90%-1.86%-1.64%0.90%-0.10%1.21%0.87%5.18%-1.87%1.69%86.96%
2004 Q423.57%22.12%16.55%15.47%13.69%13.58%13.40%12.24%14.17%14.94%9.23%-0.98%59.68%
2005 Q1-18.51%-9.83%-7.14%-4.99%-4.52%-2.09%-2.41%-2.92%-3.39%3.07%-2.15%1.64%74.64%
2005 Q23.39%2.66%0.75%2.84%3.21%2.33%2.85%3.22%3.83%4.88%1.37%0.20%32.87%
2005 Q38.83%5.53%4.37%4.67%3.22%5.84%2.63%3.72%4.89%14.68%3.60%0.25%4.60%
2005 Q40.78%2.22%4.02%2.58%1.53%0.99%1.01%0.97%3.65%-0.43%2.09%-0.13%8.05%
2006 Q19.86%8.77%9.63%11.18%11.96%13.63%11.52%14.15%13.21%15.94%4.21%0.67%81.65%
2006 Q2-4.48%1.19%-3.27%-3.73%-3.58%-4.07%-3.55%-5.18%-6.23%-5.23%-1.44%-0.41%39.46%
2006 Q3-0.18%4.76%2.29%2.94%1.10%-0.52%1.00%0.00%-0.65%-0.82%5.67%-0.38%38.98%
2006 Q410.97%9.36%7.57%7.48%7.48%7.35%9.06%8.28%9.13%12.35%6.70%0.12%4.38%
2007 Q1-0.36%0.47%1.29%2.17%2.85%1.18%1.46%3.92%3.09%3.70%0.64%0.39%69.92%
2007 Q2-2.30%0.41%3.09%4.33%4.73%5.03%6.17%6.24%7.11%8.34%6.28%1.00%88.50%
2007 Q3-14.99%-8.95%-5.52%-6.04%-4.34%-1.99%-2.64%-0.12%0.10%1.46%2.03%1.52%87.31%
2007 Q4-20.58%-17.04%-10.30%-10.17%-8.65%-7.52%-4.27%-1.46%-1.52%1.11%-3.33%2.22%94.36%
2008 Q1-4.21%-7.82%-7.25%-6.17%-9.04%-10.24%-9.27%-11.76%-10.76%-9.72%-9.44%-0.63%68.98%
2008 Q2-16.26%-11.24%-7.33%-4.08%-1.69%-4.04%-1.33%-0.09%1.23%12.59%-2.73%2.36%85.21%
2008 Q3-7.89%-2.92%-6.22%-0.39%-3.62%-1.63%-4.66%-5.07%-6.89%-17.86%-8.37%-0.74%21.43%
2008 Q4-40.84%-40.62%-36.22%-35.86%-35.36%-32.16%-31.06%-28.98%-23.31%-21.27%-21.94%2.13%94.82%
2009 Q1-6.10%-5.38%-7.04%-8.84%-7.20%-7.21%-8.96%-4.61%-10.70%-7.69%-11.01%-0.24%16.40%
2009 Q240.66%31.20%28.36%24.94%33.20%33.40%29.86%42.76%49.87%78.16%15.93%3.36%42.68%
2009 Q311.62%13.50%16.50%17.20%20.93%25.69%23.97%28.78%37.13%74.84%15.61%4.97%66.56%
2009 Q44.99%4.42%4.37%4.86%3.00%3.84%2.47%2.83%0.05%-15.18%6.04%-1.37%46.86%
2010 Q17.10%7.38%8.69%7.86%9.87%9.33%9.33%13.11%15.36%36.99%5.39%2.13%51.33%
2010 Q2-10.45%-9.70%-1.73%-8.55%-9.24%-9.29%-9.50%-7.53%-8.42%-9.95%-11.43%-0.11%1.82%
2010 Q313.44%12.05%13.18%11.78%10.78%10.69%11.00%8.96%8.04%16.19%11.29%-0.16%4.48%
2010 Q410.62%12.58%15.09%15.85%13.13%14.69%14.39%15.45%15.00%19.08%10.76%0.56%57.30%
2011 Q16.08%6.43%5.18%6.32%5.91%4.12%8.90%8.32%9.32%16.92%5.92%0.84%49.90%
2011 Q2-4.59%-4.37%-0.08%1.02%-1.76%-1.25%-2.74%-1.14%2.75%-4.46%0.10%0.21%6.78%
2011 Q3-27.01%-7.11%-23.01%-21.36%-20.91%-19.40%-17.84%3.02%-18.07%-17.30%-13.87%0.93%10.47%
2011 Q45.95%10.68%15.10%14.73%12.70%13.04%13.94%12.43%10.59%10.74%11.82%0.16%3.47%
2012 Q125.47%25.03%19.69%17.77%15.08%17.36%13.60%14.58%11.53%10.52%12.59%-1.61%89.63%
2012 Q2-15.08%-9.63%-7.13%-4.91%-5.52%-2.08%-3.17%-2.10%-1.71%-3.31%-2.75%1.18%72.31%
2012 Q34.39%5.80%6.98%10.36%7.40%5.70%7.61%8.84%6.61%8.78%6.35%0.27%21.55%
2012 Q4-0.07%-1.12%-1.20%-0.21%-1.17%-0.09%0.44%0.22%0.13%1.25%-0.38%0.19%51.33%
2013 Q114.19%10.31%12.51%14.55%9.79%9.44%14.55%11.46%14.68%21.88%10.61%-103.74%38.82%
2013 Q2-2.73%2.74%4.15%3.38%2.54%3.10%4.97%5.01%5.42%5.96%2.91%-57.07%25.55%
2013 Q39.88%9.96%9.50%9.53%8.22%9.61%8.19%11.50%13.50%13.02%5.24%-61.87%55.27%
2013 Q47.49%6.67%9.96%7.47%8.56%8.52%8.03%11.14%9.57%8.97%10.51%-37.62%38.29%
2014 Q19.61%6.69%6.59%3.72%3.09%1.99%2.18%2.98%2.58%0.04%1.81%54.42%17.66%
2014 Q2-2.17%4.21%0.84%1.66%3.27%1.88%2.24%1.81%0.97%0.18%5.23%33.49%17.76%
2014 Q3-7.70%-6.38%-5.08%-4.12%-5.11%-5.32%-2.96%-5.32%-4.80%-7.22%1.13%5.32%0.69%
2014 Q4-15.76%-6.23%3.17%6.21%4.03%7.94%6.55%5.25%5.52%5.45%4.93%-88.26%6.76%
2015 Q10.69%4.77%3.53%8.81%3.96%2.82%4.76%3.64%3.09%5.62%0.95%24.26%6.33%
2015 Q25.46%-0.18%0.28%0.09%-1.65%0.01%0.85%1.27%0.46%0.00%0.28%-7.12%0.71%
2015 Q3-28.27%-18.91%-15.57%-14.00%-11.49%-10.67%-9.74%-8.94%-6.19%-2.89%-6.44%-189.15%33.71%
2015 Q410.51%7.40%7.09%7.57%6.41%5.45%5.79%6.42%6.47%5.16%7.04%24.20%12.19%
2016 Q1-4.49%-2.73%0.85%-0.81%1.02%-0.89%0.25%-0.59%1.01%2.08%1.35%-50.49%31.75%
2016 Q22.07%3.83%1.70%3.25%5.57%1.51%3.25%4.06%1.06%2.05%2.46%31.82%24.69%
2016 Q312.42%10.31%7.62%7.27%6.34%10.59%7.53%9.50%9.01%13.58%3.85%-33.86%9.98%
2016 Q4-0.28%1.97%3.76%8.01%6.41%5.47%5.84%7.46%10.97%8.63%3.83%-80.30%28.20%
2017 Q19.63%6.81%2.87%4.47%3.89%4.15%1.80%2.68%3.75%3.69%6.07%38.37%13.68%
2017 Q2-2.33%0.92%1.24%1.25%2.87%3.28%2.80%2.02%1.36%0.38%3.09%7.06%0.92%
2017 Q32.98%4.50%6.40%8.00%3.04%4.93%4.23%3.39%4.51%6.54%4.48%2.57%0.12%
2017 Q42.82%3.26%4.68%3.34%3.02%4.84%4.27%4.17%5.63%5.37%6.64%-36.10%62.93%
2018 Q17.08%9.52%8.43%4.90%8.45%6.07%2.76%4.47%5.15%8.60%-0.76%16.44%2.64%

       
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